This page’s menu:



Serial Killer Profiler Accuracy Tested

"Serial Killers: The Method and Madness of Monsters" a new history of serial homicide by Peter Vronsky just published by Penguin books, reports on recent studies that tested the qualifications and accuracy of criminal profilers.

(PRWEB) December 10, 2004 -- "Serial Killers: The Method and Madness of Monsters" a new history of serial murder by Peter Vronsky, describes research conducted by a university in Australia to empirically test the best qualifications for profilers of serial killers. (See www.petervronsky.com)

Groups of police officers, professional profilers (forensic psychologists with a history of being retained by police departments), ordinary psychologists, claimed psychics, and untrained economics and science college students, were all asked to profile an unidentified offender based on crime scene information from a previously solved case. The details of the offender’s identity and characteristics were obviously not disclosed to the test subjects.

As expected, professional profilers and psychologists scored best in accurately describing the characteristics of the unknown offender. But surprisingly, the next highest scores were achieved by the untrained college students, followed by police officers and psychics last. Because the FBI asserts that investigative experience is the highest qualification that successful profilers can bring to the job, a second experiment was run to test the value of policing experience on the skills and abilities of profilers.

The test subjects this time consisted of 31 senior detectives with a minimum of ten years experience; 12 seasoned homicide investigators; 19 trainee detectives with a minimum of ten years of general police duties; 50 police academy recruits with less than six weeks of training; 50 recruits with less than three weeks training; and 31 untrained sophomore chemistry students. The results were astonishing, reports Vronsky.

Untrained sophomore chemistry students outperformed all the police groups across the board in producing the most accurate profiles. Among the police officers, police recruits scored higher than experienced homicide detectives and outperformed the other police groups.

These results seem to contradict the FBI’s assertion that investigative experience is the highest qualification for effective profilers.

Vronsky reports that researchers suggest that paradoxically, the more experience an investigator has, the more that experience gets in the way of interpreting data for the purpose of profiling. Investigators develop over the years a set of commonsense “heuristics”-impressions about criminals and crime that are based not necessarily on fact but on their own subjective experience and perceptions. College students and police recruits with no such prejudicial experience and a more open mind, can produce more accurate profiles than experienced police officers.

These tests are not conclusive, Vronsky warns. Formal education might also be a factor behind the effectiveness of a profiler, and the low scores from senior police officers might reflect the lower educational qualifications of police recruits in the past when those officers joined the force. Vronsky reminds us that many FBI profilers hold M.A. and Ph.D. degrees in behavioral sciences, which may account for the FBI’s reputation for effective profiling.    

"Serial Killers: The Method and Madness of Monsters" is a 430-page book covering the historical, cultural, psychological and investigative aspects of serial homicide and includes a chapter on the history of profiling and recent developments and advances in the technique.

Peter Vronsky is currently completing his doctorate in history at the University of Toronto and is a former international investigative documentary producer.

For more information or to contact the author: www.petervronsky.com

Serial Killers: The Method and Madness of Monsters
Peter Vronsky
New York: Berkley Publishing Group, 2004.
432 Pages, Illustrated
ISBN: 0425196402

# # #

Source :  http://www.prweb.com/releases/2004/12/prweb187427.htm